Eatonville Area Lakes - Ohop Lake, Clear Lake, Silver Lake, Tanwax Lake - Real Estate, Mortgage, and the Economy
Ohop Lake Real Estate, Clear Lake Real Estate, Silver Lake Real Estate, Alder lake Real Estate, Taxwax lake Real Estate, Lake Whitman Real Estate. www.ohoplakerealestate.com
Interest
Rates At Yearly Lows Again: Mortgage Backed Securities pricing has moved
to the best levels in over 12 months. The last time we were here was for a
couple days back on May 29th. Pricing stayed there for a short time
and then moved higher quickly. Rate moved up about .25% and then slowly moved
lower back to current levels. This is common behavior for a market that does
not want to push rates lower but also does not have a lot of confidence in the
overall economy. Inflation readings this week calmed fears that this
measurement was overheating. Geo-political concerns and a stalling stock market
are supporting low interest rates. There is concern of a move higher in rates
based on the last visit to these levels but not much concern of a major
increase.
|
Industry News
"Help! I need
somebody." The Beatles. While the Fed has been working hard
to help our economy shake off the recent recession, some key reports continue
to disappoint.
After six years and over $4 trillion of stimulus geared toward promoting economic growth, the final reading for 2014 first quarter Gross Domestic Product (GDP) came in at an anemic -2.9 percent. This was worse than expected and the worst reading since the first quarter of 2009, the height of the recession. The report showed that consumer spending fell to 1 percent from 3 percent, which is a big concern as consumer spending is a main driver of our economy. Harsh winter weather early in the year was a key factor in the contraction. GDP is considered the broadest measure of economic activity, so it will be especially important to see if the second quarter data (from months with better weather) shows signs of improvement when it is released at the end of July. Housing continues to be a bright spot as New Home Sales for May surged by 18.6 percent to an annual rate of 504,000, well above expectations. Existing Home Sales for May were also up 4.9 percent from April, reaching their highest monthly rate since August 2011. Meanwhile, the Case-Shiller 20-city Home Price Index rose 10.8 percent in the year ended in April. However, from March to April, the 20-city Index gained just 0.2 percent. A spokesman for Case-Shiller said that overall prices are rising month-to-month, but at a slower rate. What does this mean for home loan rates? The weak GDP report, tame inflation news and a decline in Stocks boosted Mortgage Bonds last week. Since home loan rates are tied to Mortgage Bonds, home loan rates reached some of their best levels this year. The takeaway is that now remains a great time to consider a home purchase or refinance. Let me know if I can answer any questions at all for you or your clients. |
Real Estate
Miscellaneous Stats
Existing Home Listings May Bring Some Relief In Tight
Supply: New NAR data shows more homeowners are putting their homes on the
market for sale. The numbers for May are the highest in over 2 years. Despite
the gains most markets are still below normal levels. There were 2.28 million
existing homes for sales in May which is up from 2.15 million one year ago. In
the 5 years leading up to the 2007 peak, there was an average of 2.77 million
existing homes for sale. Industry experts confirm that many potential buyers
are on the sidelines waiting for more favorable options and possibilities of
actually getting an offer accepted. Increased inventory is good news and
appreciation rates are still strong so we may see more.
Housing Recovery Reflected In Latest Builder Report: Confidence among U.S. homebuilders rose in June by the most in almost a
year, a sign the residential real estate market is stabilizing after reeling
from severe winter weather earlier this year. The National Association of Home
Builders/Wells Fargo sentiment gauge climbed to 49 this month from 45 in May,
the biggest gain since July 2013, figures from the Washington-based group
showed today. Readings greater than 50 mean more respondents report good market
conditions. The median forecast in a Bloomberg survey called for 47.
Current sales, the outlook for future purchases and prospective buyer
traffic all improved this month, this week’s figures showed, indicating
mortgage rates close to historically low levels and a strengthening job market
are sustaining demand.Improving sentiment comes as the world’s largest economy
picks up this quarter following a contraction in the first three months of
2014. The increase "is a welcome sign and shows some renewed confidence in
the industry," NAHB Chairman Kevin Kelly, a homebuilder and developer from
Wilmington, Delaware, said in a statement. "However, builders are facing
strong headwinds, including the limited availability of labor."
The gain this month in the index was the first this year. The measure of
the six-month sales outlook improved to 59 in June from 56 which is the highest
since January.
By region builder confidence improved in the Midwest, West and South.
Seattle Area Prices
Continue To Show Strength: The April Case-Shiller Report was released last week
and shows continued strength in housing prices ruled most markets. The strength
of our housing market is reflected in appreciation rates double the 20 city
index average. Year over year appreciation was 11.2% for King and Snohomish
Counties and is the 14th consecutive double digit month. Prices
increased 2.3% from March to April rebuffing ideas that pricing increases were
slowing significantly. Area prices are still 14% below peak levels of 2007.
Case-Shiller chairman, David Blitzer, analysis concludes that the markets still
have a way to go for full recovery. He points out that price increases are
being driven by non-traditional factors: unusually high investor activity, very
low existing and new construction inventory and declining foreclosure
inventory. He pointed out that first time buyer activity remains below normal
levels. First time buyers are often competing with investors. Local foreclosure
rates have fallen to 1.4% of all homes with mortgages from 2.1% last year this
time.Ohop Lake Real Estate, Clear Lake Real Estate, Silver Lake Real Estate, Alder lake Real Estate, Taxwax lake Real Estate, Lake Whitman Real Estate. www.ohoplakerealestate.com

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