Ohop Lake Real Estate - Real Estate, Mortgage, and the Economy
Eatonville Area Lakes – Ohop Lake Real Estate, Tanwax
Lake Real Estate, Silver Lake Real Estate, Clear Lake Real Estate, Alder Lake
Real Estate, Lake Whitman Real Estate – www.ohoplakerealestate.com
Interest Rates
Move Up From New Lows: Freddy Mac reported that last week’s30 year
fixed rates dropped to 3.620% with a .7 discount fee. This is a low point going
back to May of 2013 when rates moved up from historic low points over the 50
previous 50 years. I have reviewed the factors that have moved rates lower in
previous issues and those same factors are in place today. One of the more
recent factors is strengthening of the US Dollar. This has made US based assets
more valuable when compared with global assets. The value Euro has moved from
about $1.40 dollars to about $1.150 dollars over the last year. It appears that
this trend will continue. The increased value of US based assets makes our
bonds more attractive, that attracts more buyers and that lowers rates. The
other factors that keeping rates down are: very low inflation rates, a stock
market that seems to be topping out, European and Asian economies are slowing
and the Fed continues to buy mortgage bonds through their reinvestment program.
This week interest rates moved off low points after the European Central Bank
announced their program to purchase European assets. This gave European stock
markets a boost and drew some money out of US bond assets. For now it looks
like interest rates will stay in the new range which has 30 year fixed rates
just below 4.000%. There are many who believe rates will move lower as economic
activity around the world is less than robust.
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Industry News
"There's
no place like home." News from the housing sector was front and
center, and with rates remaining near historic lows, great opportunities
remain for those looking to purchase or refinance.
Housing Starts sizzled in December, rising 4.4 percent from November to 1.089 million annualized units, coming in above expectations. The rise in Housing Starts was the strongest annual pace in seven years and it was led by a jump in starts for single-family homes, which reached their highest level since early 2008. Building Permits, a sign of future construction, did decrease by nearly 2 percent in December but still came in at a strong 1.03 million. Both Building Permits and Housing Starts figures were also revised higher in November. Also of note, the January National Association of Home Builders Housing Market Index was 57. Readings above 50 are considered positive sentiments about market conditions. Meanwhile, December Existing Home Sales rose from November. However, sales in 2014 were lower compared to 2013 due to a sluggish start in the beginning of the year. Overall, the housing sector continues to improve. In news overseas, the European Central Bank has announced that it will enact a massive Quantitative Easing, or QE, style of Bond purchases to fight off deflation and promote economic growth in the region. The news has caused extreme volatility in U.S. markets. However, Mortgage Bonds and home loan rates (which are tied to Mortgage Bonds) remain near historic best levels. The bottom line is that home loan rates remain near some of their best levels of the year, and now is a great time to consider a home purchase or refinance. Let me know if I can answer any questions at all for you or your clients. |
Real Estate Miscellaneous Stats
2014 Existing Home Sales End Strong: After a
year of slowing activity Existing sales rebounded in December. If we annualize
the December numbers it would be a pace of over 5 million sales per year. Total
sales for 2014 were 3.1% below sales levels for 2013. Sales activity increased
last year after inventory improved during the summer. Inventory did tighten by
the end of the year after the increased pace in sales had its affect. First
time home buyer activity remained low with numbers around 29% it was the lowest
level in 30 years. 26% of all sales were cash which is still a major part of
the market. 11% of sales were distressed in 2014 which is down from 14% in
2013.
Home Sales Hit Lowest Level for 6 Months in November: The NRA
released existing home sales numbers for November and all reqions of the
country showed slowing activity. It appears that 2014 will be slower than 2013
after a 3 year rally in Real Estate. There have been fewer distressed sales
than in 2013 and first time buyers are below the traditional 40% level at 31%.
Zillow predicts home sales will rebound higher in 2015.
Lenders
Reluctant To Quote Rates To Self-Employed Borrowers: A new
Zillow report indicates that self-employed borrowers have a more difficult time
identifying lending options. They report that self-employed receive 40% fewer
loan quotes primary due to lower credit scores. "Self-employed borrowers will no doubt face
headwinds when trying to get a loan. Low credit scores, coupled with a mountain
of paperwork lenders must complete specifically for self-employed borrowers,
make them unattractive," said Zillow Vice President of Mortgages Erin
Lantz. "So, despite self-employed borrowers with high incomes appearing on
paper to be better situated to repay their loan, they're often overlooked by
lenders. In cases like this, it really pays to shop around." The report
goes on to say that self-employed borrowers typically have higher household
incomes, Zillow reports that their incomes are 81% higher on average. They also
place larger down payments and buy more expensive homes. The down side is they
are twice as likely to have credit scores below 680. These factors were the
motivation behind RPM’s ‘Tailored Product Line’. There are 4 different products
that are targeted at self-employed borrowers. They allow credit scores as low
as 660 and loan amounts as high as $4 million. These products offer truly
unique solutions to challenges faced by your self-employed clients.
FHA Makes
Positive Changes for 2015: We start the year with some good
news from FHA. It has been pretty much negative changes to FHA over the last
few years as HUD has had to make changes to keep the program solvent. The rash
of foreclosures during the Great Recession depleted the FHA reserve fund so FHA
was forced to dramatically increase their mortgage insurance premiums. This has
made FHA loans much less affordable and did not compare well to comparable
conventional loans. FHA has just reversed course and lowered the annual MI
premium by .50%. This will lower the monthly payment for FHA borrowers. They
also announced a max loan amount increase for our area up to $517,500. Good
news also as prices have increased.
Eatonville Area Lakes – Ohop Lake Real Estate, Tanwax
Lake Real Estate, Silver Lake Real Estate, Clear Lake Real Estate, Alder Lake
Real Estate, Lake Whitman Real Estate – www.ohoplakerealestate.com





